SPY educational market analysis dashboard
Educational analysis only.
Trading.Red is not a broker or investment adviser. AI outputs, model scores, support/resistance areas and scenario ranges are educational market-analysis data, not financial advice, personalized advice, recommendations, signals, or instructions to transact.
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Technical
AI Trade Insights
Unified verdict · StructureMap 4H MT-1.0
AVOID Bearish
SPY has a bearish medium-term structure with 50/100 unified conviction. 2 of 3 independent horizon models align. The current decision is AVOID because risk/reward is only 1:0.62; the minimum display threshold is 1:1.50.
50 Conviction / 100
1 : 0.62 Risk / reward
Conviction score, not a guaranteed probability of profit.
Credibility guard active Risk/reward is only 1:0.62; the minimum display threshold is 1:1.50.
01 What changed Since the prior observation
Price +0.2% Since prior regular close
RSI 14 38.3 +5.7 since prior bar
MACD -2.958 -0.690 since prior bar
02 Evidence map Signals supporting and challenging the thesis
Supports MACD pressureHistogram direction -1.981
Relative strength20-session move versus market -3.3%
RSI balanceMomentum position around 50 38.3
Challenges Trend structure20/50-day trend spread +0.14%
03 Three independent horizons
Levels come only from deterministic price models
Short term PulseVector 15 ST-1.0
ENTER 15-minute momentum is negative: RSI, MACD acceleration, VWAP pressure and volume pulse are scored independently.
Entry zone 753.53 - 756.01
Target $750.94
Stop $764.13
R:R 1:0.41
RSI 14 39.3 MACD Pulse -0.15 ATR Volume Pulse 1.83×
Medium term StructureMap 4H MT-1.0
ENTER Four-hour structure is lh/ll; ADX, structural slope, range control and participation determine this independent swing bias.
Entry zone 752.27 - 764.19
Target $744.22
Stop $780.98
R:R 1:0.62
ADX 14 19.1 Structure LH/LL Range Position 12%
Long term RegimeCompass 200 LT-1.0
ENTER Daily/weekly regime uses the 50/200-day alignment, long-cycle momentum, weekly trend and 81% trend persistence.
Entry zone 748.88 - 771.88
Target $781.62
Stop $712.48
R:R 1:0.44
SMA Regime 50 > 200 12M Momentum +10.5% Persistence 81%
04 Catalyst radar Cached headlines · context only
No cached catalyst headlines are available. The model does not invent a news signal.
05 Model accountability What the score is built on
421 Historical trades
41% Historical win rate
+0.04R Expectancy
Partial Coverage
— Market context — Cached news ✓ 3 horizon models ✓ Historical sample
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EMA 9 EMA 21 EMA 50 EMA 200 VWAP
Volume -84% vs 20 SMA
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Support 750.3600; resistance 779.4200; upper scenario level 744.2191; invalidation level 780.9801.
Most recent 20 market-price observations shown in the chart Date Open High Low Close 2026-10-07 775.7700 779.1000 773.6100 777.2200 2026-10-08 774.8600 777.0900 770.4400 773.9300 2026-10-09 776.2400 779.4200 775.1400 778.5700 2026-10-12 778.7800 779.4000 777.0500 778.1000 2026-10-13 777.3400 778.7500 775.9500 778.0100 2026-10-14 774.9200 776.3500 766.7100 769.6000 2026-10-15 766.2500 772.8700 764.4300 771.7900 2026-10-16 773.2400 773.2500 760.6400 763.2500 2026-10-19 767.2300 770.4600 765.8200 766.4800 2026-10-20 765.8600 772.2900 764.2500 769.0500 2026-10-21 771.1700 774.4400 768.4000 773.0900 2026-10-22 766.3700 767.7100 761.1700 763.9600 2026-10-23 759.9000 763.4700 758.6800 759.9700 2026-10-26 762.2500 767.7300 761.6300 765.3700 2026-10-27 767.3400 771.1400 765.2100 769.6600 2026-10-28 771.4300 773.3600 769.2400 772.3100 2026-10-29 768.7900 770.7600 766.6200 769.3600 2026-10-30 761.3800 761.4600 750.3600 755.7200 2026-11-02 759.4500 763.8600 751.6000 752.1000 2026-11-03 752.7300 754.6800 752.3900 753.7300
☆
AI MARKET CONTEXT
Technical context and educational scenario view
StructureMap 4H MT-1.0
Model Bias ENTER
Technical context, model score and educational scenario view.
ADX 14 19.1
Structure LH/LL
Range Position 12%
How to read the model score and scenario levels
Chart observation: 2026-11-03 00:00 · Provider snapshot · not guaranteed real-time
Model score A heuristic confidence indicator built from trend, momentum, volatility, market context and news. It is not a probability of profit.
Observed range The price area the model uses for context, not an instruction to enter a position.
Resistance area An area where upward movement may meet selling pressure; it is not a target or guarantee.
Invalidation area A level where the current scenario would need reassessment, not a personalized stop-loss.
Company calendar SPY Earnings & Economy Upcoming company reports and relevant economic releases from the configured provider.
Shareholder calendar SPY Dividend Dates Announced ex-dividend, record and payment dates when supplied by the provider.
Loading dividend dates...
Point-in-time comparison
Historical Twin
Past market states that most closely resemble SPY today, using only information available at each historical date.
Market behavior analog v1
Searching historical market states Comparing returns, volatility, drawdown, trend and volume regimes.
Historical analogs are educational statistical comparisons, not forecasts or recommendations. Similar market behavior can lead to materially different outcomes. Version 1 does not compare fundamentals.
