AAPL educational market analysis dashboard
Educational analysis only.
Trading.Red is not a broker or investment adviser. AI outputs, model scores, support/resistance areas and scenario ranges are educational market-analysis data, not financial advice, personalized advice, recommendations, signals, or instructions to transact.
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Technical
AI Trade Insights
Unified verdict · StructureMap 4H MT-1.0
AVOID Bullish
AAPL has a bullish medium-term structure with 53/100 unified conviction. 3 of 3 independent horizon models align. The current decision is AVOID because risk/reward is only 1:0.40; the minimum display threshold is 1:1.50.
53 Conviction / 100
1 : 0.40 Risk / reward
Conviction score, not a guaranteed probability of profit.
Credibility guard active Risk/reward is only 1:0.40; the minimum display threshold is 1:1.50.
01 What changed Since the prior observation
Price -0.4% Since prior regular close
RSI 14 64.7 -4.7 since prior bar
MACD 5.287 +0.282 since prior bar
02 Evidence map Signals supporting and challenging the thesis
Supports Trend structure20/50-day trend spread +0.74%
MACD pressureHistogram direction +1.569
Relative strength20-session move versus market +7.8%
Challenges No major conflictTracked signals broadly agree —
03 Three independent horizons
Levels come only from deterministic price models
Short term PulseVector 15 ST-1.0
ENTER 15-minute momentum is positive: RSI, MACD acceleration, VWAP pressure and volume pulse are scored independently.
Entry zone 335.25 - 335.93
Target $338.49
Stop $332.40
R:R 1:0.91
RSI 14 53.2 MACD Pulse +0.09 ATR Volume Pulse 1.52×
Medium term StructureMap 4H MT-1.0
ENTER Four-hour structure is hh/hl; ADX, structural slope, range control and participation determine this independent swing bias.
Entry zone 328.31 - 336.93
Target $343.56
Stop $305.58
R:R 1:0.40
ADX 14 15.5 Structure HH/HL Range Position 91%
Long term RegimeCompass 200 LT-1.0
ENTER Daily/weekly regime uses the 50/200-day alignment, long-cycle momentum, weekly trend and 73% trend persistence.
Entry zone 315.30 - 340.44
Target $374.45
Stop $241.42
R:R 1:0.54
SMA Regime 50 > 200 12M Momentum +40.4% Persistence 73%
04 Catalyst radar Cached headlines · context only
John Ternus has the 'Apple DNA' that will push company to the 'next level'
Apple will essentially sell 'every single' iPhone Duo it makes: CFRA
Trump takes aim at Warsh after Fed hike
05 Model accountability What the score is built on
421 Historical trades
45% Historical win rate
+0.12R Expectancy
Partial Coverage
— Market context ✓ Cached news ✓ 3 horizon models ✓ Historical sample
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EMA 9 EMA 21 EMA 50 EMA 200 VWAP
Volume +99% vs 20 SMA
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Support 307.0100; resistance 338.4900; upper scenario level 343.5581; invalidation level 305.5776.
Most recent 20 market-price observations shown in the chart Date Open High Low Close 2026-08-21 312.0500 312.3800 307.0100 309.3500 2026-08-24 311.4700 313.3600 309.9700 310.3400 2026-08-25 310.7900 313.5900 308.2100 309.9000 2026-08-26 310.3000 315.4300 308.8000 313.4500 2026-08-27 310.5500 315.4000 309.4000 314.5800 2026-08-28 316.8500 322.3700 315.4500 319.7000 2026-08-31 319.6000 321.2400 312.8000 316.8500 2026-09-01 316.9800 327.3000 314.7300 325.1300 2026-09-02 326.8700 328.4000 323.5300 324.9600 2026-09-03 324.8700 330.8100 324.1100 328.2100 2026-09-04 328.3100 328.9300 317.8600 319.9700 2026-09-08 317.1000 320.7000 314.9000 316.2200 2026-09-09 315.4900 319.1500 309.9000 315.3400 2026-09-10 316.6700 326.7400 316.5100 326.5700 2026-09-11 327.4500 336.2200 326.3000 332.2700 2026-09-14 334.7900 335.5000 331.3400 333.0800 2026-09-15 330.1400 331.7800 328.3500 331.3400 2026-09-16 332.5300 335.4800 330.7000 332.4100 2026-09-17 334.7700 338.3400 330.1800 337.0000 2026-09-18 337.9900 338.4900 332.5300 335.6000
☆
AI MARKET CONTEXT
Technical context and educational scenario view
StructureMap 4H MT-1.0
Model Bias ENTER
Technical context, model score and educational scenario view.
ADX 14 15.5
Structure HH/HL
Range Position 91%
How to read the model score and scenario levels
Chart observation: 2026-09-18 00:00 · Provider snapshot · not guaranteed real-time
Model score A heuristic confidence indicator built from trend, momentum, volatility, market context and news. It is not a probability of profit.
Observed range The price area the model uses for context, not an instruction to enter a position.
Resistance area An area where upward movement may meet selling pressure; it is not a target or guarantee.
Invalidation area A level where the current scenario would need reassessment, not a personalized stop-loss.
Company calendar AAPL Earnings & Economy Upcoming company reports and relevant economic releases from the configured provider.
Shareholder calendar AAPL Dividend Dates Announced ex-dividend, record and payment dates when supplied by the provider.
Loading dividend dates...
Point-in-time comparison
Historical Twin
Past market states that most closely resemble AAPL today, using only information available at each historical date.
Market behavior analog v1
Searching historical market states Comparing returns, volatility, drawdown, trend and volume regimes.
Historical analogs are educational statistical comparisons, not forecasts or recommendations. Similar market behavior can lead to materially different outcomes. Version 1 does not compare fundamentals.
