NVDA educational market analysis dashboard
Educational analysis only.
Trading.Red is not a broker or investment adviser. AI outputs, model scores, support/resistance areas and scenario ranges are educational market-analysis data, not financial advice, personalized advice, recommendations, signals, or instructions to transact.
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Technical
AI Trade Insights
Unified verdict · StructureMap 4H MT-1.0
AVOID Bearish
NVDA has a bearish medium-term structure with 58/100 unified conviction. 1 of 3 independent horizon models align. The current decision is AVOID because risk/reward is only 1:0.33; the minimum display threshold is 1:1.50.
58 Conviction / 100
1 : 0.33 Risk / reward
Conviction score, not a guaranteed probability of profit.
Credibility guard active Risk/reward is only 1:0.33; the minimum display threshold is 1:1.50.
01 What changed Since the prior observation
Price +2.8% Since prior regular close
RSI 14 37.9 +11.0 since prior bar
MACD -4.676 -0.111 since prior bar
02 Evidence map Signals supporting and challenging the thesis
Supports Trend structure20/50-day trend spread -1.65%
MACD pressureHistogram direction -1.559
Relative strength20-session move versus market -13.1%
Challenges No major conflictTracked signals broadly agree —
03 Three independent horizons
Levels come only from deterministic price models
Short term PulseVector 15 ST-1.0
ENTER
15-minute momentum is positive: RSI, MACD acceleration, VWAP pressure and volume pulse are scored independently.
Entry zone 205.60 - 208.01
Target $210.09
Stop $201.42
R:R 1:0.61
RSI 14 58.9 MACD Pulse +0.25 ATR Volume Pulse 1.76×
Medium term StructureMap 4H MT-1.0
ENTER
Four-hour structure is lh/ll; ADX, structural slope, range control and participation determine this independent swing bias.
Entry zone 206.70 - 212.80
Target $199.74
Stop $240.31
R:R 1:0.33
ADX 14 29.3 Structure LH/LL Range Position 18%
Long term RegimeCompass 200 LT-1.0
ENTER
Daily/weekly regime uses the 50/200-day alignment, long-cycle momentum, weekly trend and 73% trend persistence.
Entry zone 203.65 - 225.61
Target $243.37
Stop $186.31
R:R 1:1.01
SMA Regime 50 > 200 12M Momentum +2.6% Persistence 73%
04 Catalyst radar Cached headlines · context only
No cached catalyst headlines are available. The model does not invent a news signal.
05 Model accountability What the score is built on
421 Historical trades
44% Historical win rate
+0.11R Expectancy
Partial Coverage
— Market context — Cached news ✓ 3 horizon models ✓ Historical sample
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EMA 9 EMA 21 EMA 50 EMA 200 VWAP
Volume -80% vs 20 SMA
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Support 200.9200; resistance 239.0800; upper scenario level 199.7373; invalidation level 240.3148.
Most recent 20 market-price observations shown in the chart Date Open High Low Close 2026-10-07 237.6900 239.0800 236.3800 237.4700 2026-10-08 234.9200 237.0700 229.8500 230.4800 2026-10-09 233.8400 233.9200 229.1100 229.2800 2026-10-12 228.7300 228.8600 224.9000 226.3200 2026-10-13 224.3400 228.6400 223.0600 228.5200 2026-10-14 225.5300 226.0000 219.6400 221.3000 2026-10-15 215.3000 218.4700 212.8500 217.2300 2026-10-16 216.5600 218.6800 213.3200 214.1300 2026-10-19 218.1000 219.6200 214.7000 217.0900 2026-10-20 215.9800 218.4600 212.7700 216.4700 2026-10-21 220.9600 222.1900 217.6600 221.9700 2026-10-22 217.1300 218.8800 211.2600 212.2100 2026-10-23 210.9900 213.8500 210.1800 210.9600 2026-10-26 213.1100 217.7500 212.6100 216.0000 2026-10-27 218.3100 219.1900 215.5300 217.9400 2026-10-28 219.9200 219.9900 214.4700 215.3800 2026-10-29 214.3600 215.3300 212.0800 213.6600 2026-10-30 208.9400 209.0600 200.9200 204.6400 2026-11-02 207.5300 209.9800 201.6600 202.0600 2026-11-03 207.8500 209.1400 205.9300 207.7800
☆
AI MARKET CONTEXT
Technical context and educational scenario view
StructureMap 4H MT-1.0
Model Bias ENTER
Technical context, model score and educational scenario view.
ADX 14 29.3
Structure LH/LL
Range Position 18%
How to read the model score and scenario levels
Chart observation: 2026-11-03 00:00 · Provider snapshot · not guaranteed real-time
Model score A heuristic confidence indicator built from trend, momentum, volatility, market context and news. It is not a probability of profit.
Observed range The price area the model uses for context, not an instruction to enter a position.
Resistance area An area where upward movement may meet selling pressure; it is not a target or guarantee.
Invalidation area A level where the current scenario would need reassessment, not a personalized stop-loss.
Company calendar NVDA Earnings & Economy Upcoming company reports and relevant economic releases from the configured provider.
Shareholder calendar NVDA Dividend Dates Announced ex-dividend, record and payment dates when supplied by the provider.
Loading dividend dates...
Point-in-time comparison
Historical Twin
Past market states that most closely resemble NVDA today, using only information available at each historical date.
Market behavior analog v1
Searching historical market states Comparing returns, volatility, drawdown, trend and volume regimes.
Historical analogs are educational statistical comparisons, not forecasts or recommendations. Similar market behavior can lead to materially different outcomes. Version 1 does not compare fundamentals.