AAPL educational market analysis dashboard
Educational analysis only.
Trading.Red is not a broker or investment adviser. AI outputs, model scores, support/resistance areas and scenario ranges are educational market-analysis data, not financial advice, personalized advice, recommendations, signals, or instructions to transact.
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Technical
AI Trade Insights
Unified verdict · StructureMap 4H MT-1.0
AVOID Bullish
AAPL has a bullish medium-term structure with 58/100 unified conviction. 2 of 3 independent horizon models align. The current decision is AVOID because risk/reward is only 1:0.47; the minimum display threshold is 1:1.50.
58 Conviction / 100
1 : 0.47 Risk / reward
Conviction score, not a guaranteed probability of profit.
Credibility guard active Risk/reward is only 1:0.47; the minimum display threshold is 1:1.50.
01 What changed Since the prior observation
Price -1.1% Since prior regular close
RSI 14 55.5 -11.0 since prior bar
MACD 3.681 -0.238 since prior bar
02 Evidence map Signals supporting and challenging the thesis
Supports Trend structure20/50-day trend spread +2.62%
Relative strength20-session move versus market +3.4%
RSI balanceMomentum position around 50 55.5
Challenges MACD pressureHistogram direction -0.199
03 Three independent horizons
Levels come only from deterministic price models
Short term PulseVector 15 ST-1.0
ENTER 15-minute momentum is negative: RSI, MACD acceleration, VWAP pressure and volume pulse are scored independently.
Entry zone 344.65 - 345.55
Target $342.35
Stop $349.39
R:R 1:0.64
RSI 14 43.2 MACD Pulse -0.05 ATR Volume Pulse 1.86×
Medium term StructureMap 4H MT-1.0
ENTER Four-hour structure is hh/hl; ADX, structural slope, range control and participation determine this independent swing bias.
Entry zone 343.59 - 346.43
Target $352.41
Stop $329.33
R:R 1:0.47
ADX 14 24.4 Structure HH/HL Range Position 67%
Long term RegimeCompass 200 LT-1.0
ENTER Daily/weekly regime uses the 50/200-day alignment, long-cycle momentum, weekly trend and 83% trend persistence.
Entry zone 328.84 - 349.21
Target $373.44
Stop $270.19
R:R 1:0.50
SMA Regime 50 > 200 12M Momentum +27.9% Persistence 83%
04 Catalyst radar Cached headlines · context only
Stock Market: Will S&P 500 Open Up or Down Today?
Asian shares mostly advance but tech stocks remain volatile, while oil sinks 3.3%
Asia stocks rise as tech gains ahead of Apple results
05 Model accountability What the score is built on
421 Historical trades
48% Historical win rate
+0.18R Expectancy
Partial Coverage
— Market context ✓ Cached news ✓ 3 horizon models ✓ Historical sample
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EMA 9 EMA 21 EMA 50 EMA 200 VWAP
Volume +68% vs 20 SMA
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Support 330.6200; resistance 351.7300; upper scenario level 352.4126; invalidation level 329.3278.
Most recent 20 market-price observations shown in the chart Date Open High Low Close 2026-10-05 332.8200 336.2100 331.6500 332.8900 2026-10-06 332.2800 334.3800 330.6200 333.6300 2026-10-07 336.9600 338.6700 332.7800 336.6700 2026-10-08 336.8200 341.5700 335.9000 340.4200 2026-10-09 331.7000 338.6100 330.7000 336.6400 2026-10-12 338.2200 342.6300 337.6000 340.9700 2026-10-13 344.6700 348.1500 340.7400 341.2700 2026-10-14 344.6100 347.0900 341.7200 342.9600 2026-10-15 346.9500 347.8500 341.6000 342.0000 2026-10-16 346.0900 347.8200 340.4600 343.4600 2026-10-19 340.7800 346.0000 340.1200 342.9400 2026-10-20 339.8600 343.0600 338.7000 339.5000 2026-10-21 339.3600 345.2500 338.8300 343.9900 2026-10-22 344.9400 348.3600 342.2800 348.2200 2026-10-23 349.1200 351.7300 345.7500 347.7300 2026-10-26 343.9200 347.0900 341.0300 343.9100 2026-10-27 343.1700 347.7800 342.3900 347.1000 2026-10-28 346.9200 347.1800 343.5200 343.8300 2026-10-29 348.0000 351.4300 347.3000 348.9100 2026-10-30 346.6850 349.1900 342.3500 345.0000
☆
AI MARKET CONTEXT
Technical context and educational scenario view
StructureMap 4H MT-1.0
Model Bias ENTER
Technical context, model score and educational scenario view.
ADX 14 24.4
Structure HH/HL
Range Position 67%
How to read the model score and scenario levels
Chart observation: 2026-10-30 00:00 · Provider snapshot · not guaranteed real-time
Model score A heuristic confidence indicator built from trend, momentum, volatility, market context and news. It is not a probability of profit.
Observed range The price area the model uses for context, not an instruction to enter a position.
Resistance area An area where upward movement may meet selling pressure; it is not a target or guarantee.
Invalidation area A level where the current scenario would need reassessment, not a personalized stop-loss.
Company calendar AAPL Earnings & Economy Upcoming company reports and relevant economic releases from the configured provider.
Shareholder calendar AAPL Dividend Dates Announced ex-dividend, record and payment dates when supplied by the provider.
Loading dividend dates...
Point-in-time comparison
Historical Twin
Past market states that most closely resemble AAPL today, using only information available at each historical date.
Market behavior analog v1
Searching historical market states Comparing returns, volatility, drawdown, trend and volume regimes.
Historical analogs are educational statistical comparisons, not forecasts or recommendations. Similar market behavior can lead to materially different outcomes. Version 1 does not compare fundamentals.
