AAPL educational market analysis dashboard
Educational analysis only.
Trading.Red is not a broker or investment adviser. AI outputs, model scores, support/resistance areas and scenario ranges are educational market-analysis data, not financial advice, personalized advice, recommendations, signals, or instructions to transact.
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Technical
AI Trade Insights
Unified verdict · StructureMap 4H MT-1.0
AVOID Bearish
AAPL has a bearish medium-term structure with 32/100 unified conviction. 2 of 3 independent horizon models align. The current decision is AVOID because risk/reward is only 1:0.92; the minimum display threshold is 1:1.50.
32 Conviction / 100
1 : 0.92 Risk / reward
Conviction score, not a guaranteed probability of profit.
Credibility guard active Risk/reward is only 1:0.92; the minimum display threshold is 1:1.50. Unified conviction is 32/100, below the 50-point entry threshold.
01 What changed Since the prior observation
Price -2.7% Since prior regular close
RSI 14 36.3 -10.3 since prior bar
MACD 1.524 -1.357 since prior bar
02 Evidence map Signals supporting and challenging the thesis
Supports MACD pressureHistogram direction -1.728
Relative strength20-session move versus market -1.4%
RSI balanceMomentum position around 50 36.3
Challenges Trend structure20/50-day trend spread +2.47%
03 Three independent horizons
Levels come only from deterministic price models
Short term PulseVector 15 ST-1.0
ENTER 15-minute momentum is negative: RSI, MACD acceleration, VWAP pressure and volume pulse are scored independently.
Entry zone 328.84 - 335.29
Target $325.33
Stop $342.01
R:R 1:0.68
RSI 14 24.2 MACD Pulse -0.29 ATR Volume Pulse 0.94×
Medium term StructureMap 4H MT-1.0
ENTER Four-hour structure is lh/ll; ADX, structural slope, range control and participation determine this independent swing bias.
Entry zone 327.74 - 343.77
Target $319.78
Stop $353.21
R:R 1:0.92
ADX 14 23.4 Structure LH/LL Range Position 14%
Long term RegimeCompass 200 LT-1.0
ENTER Daily/weekly regime uses the 50/200-day alignment, long-cycle momentum, weekly trend and 83% trend persistence.
Entry zone 324.31 - 338.72
Target $358.39
Stop $269.75
R:R 1:0.43
SMA Regime 50 > 200 12M Momentum +21.7% Persistence 83%
04 Catalyst radar Cached headlines · context only
Apple (AAPL) Q4 2026 Earnings Call Transcript
Asia stocks mixed as Apple outlook weighs; RBA raises rates to 18-yr high
Jim Cramer Calls Out 'Pretty Thick' Negativity on Apple, Palantir and Marvell: 'No Matter What They Say, It Isn't Enough'
05 Model accountability What the score is built on
421 Historical trades
48% Historical win rate
+0.19R Expectancy
Partial Coverage
— Market context ✓ Cached news ✓ 3 horizon models ✓ Historical sample
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EMA 9 EMA 21 EMA 50 EMA 200 VWAP
Volume -38% vs 20 SMA
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Support 325.3300; resistance 351.7300; upper scenario level 319.7768; invalidation level 353.2063.
Most recent 20 market-price observations shown in the chart Date Open High Low Close 2026-10-07 336.9600 338.6700 332.7800 336.6700 2026-10-08 336.8200 341.5700 335.9000 340.4200 2026-10-09 331.7000 338.6100 330.7000 336.6400 2026-10-12 338.2200 342.6300 337.6000 340.9700 2026-10-13 344.6700 348.1500 340.7400 341.2700 2026-10-14 344.6100 347.0900 341.7200 342.9600 2026-10-15 346.9500 347.8500 341.6000 342.0000 2026-10-16 346.0900 347.8200 340.4600 343.4600 2026-10-19 340.7800 346.0000 340.1200 342.9400 2026-10-20 339.8600 343.0600 338.7000 339.5000 2026-10-21 339.3600 345.2500 338.8300 343.9900 2026-10-22 344.9400 348.3600 342.2800 348.2200 2026-10-23 349.1200 351.7300 345.7500 347.7300 2026-10-26 343.9200 347.0900 341.0300 343.9100 2026-10-27 343.1700 347.7800 342.3900 347.1000 2026-10-28 346.9200 347.1800 343.5200 343.8300 2026-10-29 348.0000 351.4300 347.3000 348.9100 2026-10-30 346.7200 349.1900 334.3500 344.6300 2026-11-02 342.6700 343.8000 335.8200 338.3200 2026-11-03 325.5400 334.5000 325.3300 329.0400
☆
AI MARKET CONTEXT
Technical context and educational scenario view
StructureMap 4H MT-1.0
Model Bias ENTER
Technical context, model score and educational scenario view.
ADX 14 23.4
Structure LH/LL
Range Position 14%
How to read the model score and scenario levels
Chart observation: 2026-11-03 00:00 · Provider snapshot · not guaranteed real-time
Model score A heuristic confidence indicator built from trend, momentum, volatility, market context and news. It is not a probability of profit.
Observed range The price area the model uses for context, not an instruction to enter a position.
Resistance area An area where upward movement may meet selling pressure; it is not a target or guarantee.
Invalidation area A level where the current scenario would need reassessment, not a personalized stop-loss.
Company calendar AAPL Earnings & Economy Upcoming company reports and relevant economic releases from the configured provider.
Shareholder calendar AAPL Dividend Dates Announced ex-dividend, record and payment dates when supplied by the provider.
Loading dividend dates...
Point-in-time comparison
Historical Twin
Past market states that most closely resemble AAPL today, using only information available at each historical date.
Market behavior analog v1
Searching historical market states Comparing returns, volatility, drawdown, trend and volume regimes.
Historical analogs are educational statistical comparisons, not forecasts or recommendations. Similar market behavior can lead to materially different outcomes. Version 1 does not compare fundamentals.
